Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.162260 0.185913 0.212839 0.245974 0.285952 0.333007 0.393144
2025-04-27 0.127870 0.158984 0.198393 0.252937 0.328043 0.430270 0.584396
2025-05-04 0.106795 0.140844 0.187504 0.258199 0.366518 0.533401 0.825860
2025-05-11 0.093151 0.128640 0.180412 0.264907 0.406750 0.650930 1.144673
2025-05-18 0.082391 0.118033 0.172720 0.267665 0.440052 0.767806 1.526696
2025-05-25 0.073866 0.109104 0.165525 0.268848 0.469982 0.889080 1.996204
2025-06-01 0.066598 0.100921 0.157894 0.267147 0.493370 1.006042 2.544174
2025-06-08 0.060239 0.093278 0.149830 0.262691 0.509521 1.113513 3.161194
2025-06-15 0.056598 0.089681 0.148206 0.270213 0.553865 1.312235 4.295751
2025-06-22 0.051837 0.083539 0.141005 0.264795 0.566415 1.431352 5.284226
2025-06-29 0.048683 0.079881 0.137936 0.267529 0.600140 1.633323 6.978076
2025-07-06 0.045290 0.075413 0.132682 0.264365 0.617539 1.793707 8.777110
2025-07-13 0.042953 0.072731 0.130761 0.268877 0.659174 2.074511 12.127981
2025-07-20 0.041028 0.070643 0.129800 0.275626 0.710668 2.439279 17.547832
2025-07-27 0.039180 0.068508 0.128453 0.281187 0.761191 2.850055 25.694652
2025-08-03 0.037637 0.066819 0.127842 0.288574 0.821459 3.376161 39.670898
2025-08-10 0.035918 0.064602 0.125772 0.291622 0.868217 3.890011 59.894352
2025-08-17 0.034238 0.062308 0.123250 0.292933 0.909663 4.432793 91.246983
2025-08-24 0.032508 0.059758 0.119837 0.291034 0.938195 4.937606 136.430283
2025-08-31 0.030748 0.057004 0.115644 0.286066 0.952491 5.368536 198.129643
2025-09-07 0.029878 0.056090 0.115777 0.294452 1.030320 6.475972 404.503970
2025-09-14 0.028311 0.053530 0.111594 0.288411 1.039115 6.979817 631.782833
2025-09-21 0.027319 0.052168 0.110263 0.291459 1.094665 8.106042 1388.447675